Aud/Usd trade entry 8275 level...prices extended up towards the 83.16 level ...offers came in at just above yesterdays intraday high thus correcting itself to 61.8% level where a bid tone held prominently....currently long with a fairly low risk to the downside in anticipation to the 8350 level
Wednesday, May 26, 2010
Eur trade and Aud trade
Aud/Usd trade entry 8275 level...prices extended up towards the 83.16 level ...offers came in at just above yesterdays intraday high thus correcting itself to 61.8% level where a bid tone held prominently....currently long with a fairly low risk to the downside in anticipation to the 8350 level
Tuesday, May 25, 2010
Monday, May 24, 2010
EUR/JPY trade
EUR/JPY entry long @112.27 for an anticipated extension upwards keep the downside risk relatively
tight for an anticipated extension to the 85 level
though offers are coming in at the 20 ,21 level
I closed out the trade at a +5 pip ,as my feeling is it wont take much to move price to the down side risk even though we are seeing 33 -35 bids ,I consider this trade a weak long position
recovering
Thursday, April 22, 2010
The Long Road
I find myself searching financial websites,lurking bookstores,starting off with the section for dummies ,economics for dummies, trying to absorb as much as possible.
This is only the start of your trading career ,usually when someone asks me to explain or teach them to trade I ask them to read the fist 10 pages of a strategy book based on ICWR strategy that I read to teach myself to trade on a flight back from a business trip, I gauge there reaction to the book ,that usually gives me a clear indication whether they would enjoy trading .The book was a strategy book.so it wasn't completely mind numbing ,it was my first insight into the trading world and as most strategy books go ,the future always looks paved with riches the easy way.
The Monday following my trip back I traded my first live contract ,thinking I was equipped to handle the market ,ready to make my millions,what a wake up call.
Now if that sounds familiar ,as I am sure it does ,you are in for a big shock ,2 years later I am only now starting to crack the markets ,after countless mind numbing books,sifting through self proclaimed market guru's,chief bank dealers selling mentor ships who are absolute frauds ,and trust me it always comes out sooner or later ,but only once your hard earned cash has crossed hands ,never to be seen again.
I have come across one person in all the time that I started trading ,who I literally had to beg to teach me to trade ,who in my eyes is a professional trader names kept anonymous ,who by the way didn't part ways with his strategies ,which makes you ask the question WHY? and for the record He emigrated to the UK after he made millions on the market.
It boils down to various factors ....first ,you need to pay your school fees ,plain and simple ,we all had to pay our school fees so do you ,there is no easy way ,trust me on that, dont think after bieng promised that once you do this course promised by "experts " you will start making money in trading .YOU ARE FRESH MEAT
and you will definitely blow your first account ,and more likely, not be trading in the next 6 months.
Secondly for every winner there is a loser , why do we want to part ways with our insight on how to make money in the markets ,remember that if you are losing money, it means we are making money.
BECAREFULL of self proclaimed Guru's ,strategies that never lose, trading doesn't just boil down to a strategy ,it boils down to insight into the market ,being able to look for turning points and trying to capitalize on those turning points and in the attempt to find these turning points ,you begin to analyze the markets looking for areas of high probability trades ,and that doesn't come with a strategy.
If you are serious about making a career out of trading and you have paid school fees ,take the journey to learn to trade the markets properly and invest the time.If you are serious about trading you can leave a comment I will help point you in the direction ,I am not selling any product ,nor am I offering mentor ship and I am definetly no self proclaimed guru ,I am just a trader who has paid his school fees ,I will give you one word ............and the rest is up to you .
Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Monday, April 19, 2010
Thursday, April 15, 2010
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
2nd trade GBP
Break of the Trendline from a inside bar which sometimes signals consolidation before a continaution further,
my first profit target has been filled
GBP trade for the day 13-04-10
Trade for the day of 13-04-10 (please see comments as the trade progresses)
Entry 1.5398 set my first profit take at 1.5418 20 points away from my entry where I will close half my position if the order is filled and if I am not stopped out for a loss.
Monday, April 12, 2010
To Contrary Belief
Price is determined by a constant battle back and and forth between the bulls and the bears thus price is determined by the market players .The playground becomes a constant sandpit of emotions ,fear ,greed ,hope ,desperation, a gene pool of emotion and human psychology .
I can go on and on about human nature and its significance to trading,every trader is subject to ,or a better description,a "slave" to it , all boiling down to the big question ,am I on the right side of the fence? Or do I need to jump ship.
The reason I am writing this post is to record my thought patterns for Thursdays trade on the EUR/USD , I am sure that many of you ,who are trading , have read reports or have been following the news on Greece and its contribution to the decline in the value of the EUR.
From My analysis on Thursday as seen from my trade posted of the Euro,it was in a strong decline ,market sentiment was very negative ,various posts that I read were all in favor of shorting the EUR for possible further decline in value against the Green back.
The EUR was approaching a strong support level on the weekly charts, now the hardest part in trading is positioning yourself on the side opposite side to mass psychology , and I am not saying that every time you trade you must short when the market is strongly bullish ,but sometimes you got to keep in mind ,what are the BIG BOYS thinking ,as apposed to everyone else, and as we all know ,there is no infinite pool of liquidity flowing into the market ,thus if everyone is long in a certain position , we wont all be making money ,be sure that for every winning position there is a losing position just on the other side , or in the opposite cubicle to you ,your friend Robs account is basically being transferred into your account as you are trading , I like to think that I am on the winning side most of the time just to keep a confident psychology ....positive reinforcement .
Back to positioning yourself on the opposite side , now the question I asked myself ,how many traders were positioned short on the Euro ,one answer , plenty ,and what happened to the EUR it bounced and rocketed up.A lot of traders jumped ship.or maybe they are still holding position thinking exactly the same as us now .....stay positioned opposite to what the masses are doing ,all I know is,on that trade I made money and I positioned myself to what the masses were "NOT" doing.
“A crowd never reasons, but follows its emotions; it accepts without proof what is suggested
or asserted.”“Buy when everyone else is selling and hold until everyone else is buying. This is more than
a catchy slogan . It is the very essence of successful investment”
John Paul Getty - How to be Rich
You should see from the above that if we can spot an emotional crowd and position ourselves
in the opposite direction we can make great profits. Its not of course enough just to
understand this, we need specific tools that can help us identify and act on these moves.
This is where education in understanding the markets as well as equipping yourelf with the right tools to essentially capitalize on mass hysteria
This will help you not only identify an emotional crowd but will also help you act
upon these situations for big profits.
Thursday, April 8, 2010
EUR/USD trade offf weelky trendline support
Today's trade ,a long entry was taken ,what I anticipate as area of support form the weekly chart a upward sloping trend line as seen in the chart below .
My entry signal was a candle pattern know as a Bullish morning star seen off weekly support with a stop sitting at the pivot low of the 8h00 candle ,my strategic plan for this trade is to to set up early in an anticipation of a trend line break higher to level 1.3350 hopefully the euro gains some ground on the greenback

Wednesday, April 7, 2010
Losing Trade AUD/USD
Entry 92.86 , break of a bullish flag ,trading what I thought might be a continuation move higher, after the 30 minutes of the trade not going anywhere ,I decided to close the trade for a -5 pip loss thus preventing a stop out which by the way happened minutes later ,reviewing my trade ,there was definitely an earlier entry that I could have looked at entering on the 50% retracement level forming support ,that would have at least got me into an positive position looking for a continuation break higher ,exposing the markets money ,but like always, hindsight is always profitable . Taking in a bit of knowledge that Richard gave me this morning ,if the trade is not going anywhere get out ..thanks Richard ,your advice saved me money lol
Great Privilege
I would like to post an article he wrote .........I do realize that I only have 2 followers but trust me when I say that an avalanche starts with the rolling of the first snow flake,and I hope that any future followers who are serious about trading visit his site and have a chance to speak and chat to him.
Currency Futures Trading Having a Battle Plan
Posted by: Richard Estrada // Category: Euro USD Futures

I am going to copy this blog to Richard and hopefully he approves ......... and allows me to post this on my blog ...if not please be aware that it will be removed promptly
www.currencyfuturestrading.org
My 1000000 Dollar Challenge
what a start to a week ....Monday was a bank holiday for us in South Africa ,so nothing much happened and Tuesday was just a total waste of time ....didn't get round to trading at all .
But today has been an eventful day so far on the market for me I have traded 2 trades on the GBP/USD both successful trades ,one had the potential of turning bad ,but t6hats why I stress the importance of moving the stop up to break even as soon as possible especially when you are not sure of the markets nature .
Both trades ...traded were break out trades the fist trade my entry was 1.5265 .closed half my position at 20 point (pip) profit and moved my stop to break even where in half the time it took me to look move my stop to break even I was stopped out
My 2nd trade was an entry at 1.5225 short from a break out trade of a trend line .....closed half my position at 20 point profit again ,currently my stop is at at break even and still trading, I expect support to come in at 1.5180 lets see if it breaks through that level .if it break through that level 1.5149 support may be seen , remember we can can only interpret what is happening ...nothing is for sure
Thursday, April 1, 2010
My 1000000 Dollar Challenge
waiting for setups .....I see there was a set up on the USD/JPY hourly chart,
unfortunately I was sitting on the beach soaking up the sun ...here in sunny Capetown South Africa
Now you see ...what I mean about discipline , my reasoning behind today and deciding to take today off ,is that tomorrow is a holiday, because of Easter weekend so there is not much volume .....
As well as it is extremely important that you don't chase trades,just for the sake of trading.
ALWAYS trade with an edge ....A MENTOR ONCE TOLD ME as well as countless trading books
THE MISSED USD/JPY TRADE
Unfortunately whilst sitting soaking up the sun I missed a trade setup that I might have entered
The set up was seen on the hourly chart bouncing off support at 93.31 a bullish pin bar or otherwise known as a Hammer ,the JPY has been in a bullish trend for the past month . Resistance definitely came in at around 93.70 but it is managing to push higher ........
now in hindsight there is always money to be made but in reality you have to play it safe .....The way I would have managed the that trade .....My entry would have been set at around 93.49 ,just above the high of the pin bar (see the red dotted line ) .I would have set a stop at 75% of the length of the pin bar at 93.36 level .
I would have banked half of my open position at 20 pips ,why since I am trading my own money,and you do not work for nothing ,nor start a bussiness for without wanting to make profit. The remainder of the other half of the position , to be closed out at 93.70 since weekly resistance was found at that level ,yes price has pushed higher ,bu t this would have been the trading plan risk reward ratio was 1:1 whilst writing this review it's occured to me that after banking the 20 pip the better option would have been to let the remaining open position to ride the market ,by moving my stop to break even and then trailing a stop.
My analysis of the market before then ,would have also revealed to me that market might have exhausted itself at the 93.67 level which is just below my 93.70 weekly resistance level.
A way to lock in more profit is ,once the trade has hit certain levels , to trail a high low stop with reference this trade ,you could trail the stop at each of the candle ,lows thus letting the market stop you out and therefore locking in more profit than anticipated.
As I blog and post more trades I will demonstrate my projection techniques that are pretty accurate in interpreting future market levels .
Happy trading guys

missed USD/JPY trade
Wednesday, March 31, 2010
My 1000000 Dollar Challenge
Firstly form trying to teach yourself to trade , to finding ,so called mentors to help you ,the only thing they helping you with ,is taking your money .It has been a long road and there are still many roads and paths to be
taken,some might be the wrong path but there will definitely be the right road at times .
The reason I am doing this blog is quite simple ....I have learned a great deal of trading techniques and I am still in the process of learning more I would like to share my experiences ,help those beginning by pointing them in the right path not to teach or mentor but just support you in this path as well as my own mission , to become a successful professional trader and show you that it is possible ,for the people who have traded ,you will know that the greatest battle is not learning to trade but is to dealing with you demons ,your emotional baggage whilst trading .......mine is discipline and we all know how much discipline it takes to trade.so now I have challenged myself to turn $1000 into 1million dollars muhahahahaha,why you ask ,let me blunt to put my money where my mouth is .....too put my balls on the chopping block ,so join me in my quest keep track with me post comments advice ,what ever you like.
My first Trade for the day GBP/USD 31 March 2010 trend line break technique

I have certain entry rules that I have developed over time to try and keep me out of the bad trades and get into the momentum trades that go ....I jump onto the moving train. bank profits after 20 points ....why to pay myself ....so many times I try and sit in for the big moves but always turns and reverses
so get 20 and bank the twenty ....scale out of the position

The signal for me to close the position was the shooting star off support hinted that the bulls were either selling off and taking profit or signaling an early warning of an impending top both ways for me personally it was a good sign to close position and take profit
entry :1.5115
1st exit at 20 pips 50%of my position
2nd exit 1.5145 remaining 50%
total of 20 pips on first exit
total of 30pips on 2nd exit
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